Friday, April 11, 2008

Market Commentary sent to Timer Digest on Friday April 11, 2008

Fari Hamzei

Technically, the damage caused pre-open today by Jeff Immelt & Co was heavy, GE being the 3rd largest US company by market cap. SPX closed below zero sigma (20 day MA) and NDX stopped exactly at zero sigma. McClellan Oscillators closed at -30 and -36 for NYSE and NAZZ, respectively. With this backdrop, next week could be pretty tough for the longs. We have Q1 Earnings, Tax Selling and April OX. Sounds like the script was written in a backroom of Central Casting.

As you know, we went long as of Thursday close (1360.54). While we are not panicking yet, nonetheless, we are alarmed at the huge miss by one of the most reliable reporting companies (and still the only original member of Dow 30).

But next week is another week, and God willing, we shall fight another battle.

Notice of the Change of Our Market Bias

Fari Hamzei


From: Fari Hamzei [mailto:Fari@HamzeiAnalytics.com]
Sent: Friday, April 11, 2008 4:42 AM
To: Jim Schmidt (Timerdiges@aol.com)
Subject: Timer of the Year Competition



Dear Jim,

We are going LONG SPX as of Close of Thursday, April 10 @ 1360.54.
Please confirm the receipt of this email.




All the best;


Fari Hamzei
Founder
Hamzei Analytics, LLC




This Timer Chart is for our readers.

Sunday, April 6, 2008

Phoenix Options Trading Service finishes its first month UP 22%



Well, first month is behind us. We made some mistakes and not all of our risk management systems are fully operational as we want them. And, yes, I am still trying to get settled in the Windy City.

Nevertheless, the first month, marked-to-the-market, brought in 22% return on total capital. Cash on Cash Return was even juicier.

While past performance is not indicative of future returns, we will stride to do our very best. One of the items we have recently added is ability to show current portfolio P/L without divulging trades in progress on an automated basis. See our Phoenix Visitors' Calendar: http://www.hamzeianalytics.com/PHOENIX_visitors_calendar.asp (Once you are a paid subscriber, you can see the detail of all trades in progress).

On Monday, we will have some new options trades and on the top of our list are some Solar Power Sector plays. To subscribe, here is the link that offers the best value: http://www.hamzeianalytics.com/phoenix_launch_6.asp


Godspeed Phoenix .....