Monday, August 24, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Monday, August 24, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Monday, August 24, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


Final #VX Futures Spread for Monday, August 24, 2015

Final #VX Futures Spread for Monday, August 24, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, August 24, 2015

#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, August 24, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, August 24, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, August 24, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Monday, August 24, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Monday, August 24, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Monday, August 24, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Monday, August 24, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Monday, August 24, 2015

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Monday, August 24, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Monday, August 24, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Monday, August 24, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Index #ES_F #SPY Bias Update and Levels for Monday, August 24, 2015

Index #ES_F #SPY Bias Update and Levels for Monday, August 24, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


On Friday I mentioned that I was thinking a zig zag corrective pattern would be achieved to 1958s for ESU5 sometime this week. I definitely did not think ESU5 would be trading well below 1958 or anywhere at/near the 1900 handle before the cash open Monday morning. However over the past several weeks if I did not say it once I said it 100 times that the day is nearing for the “reality” that US stocks cannot go up forever on the heels of a dovish Fed and the “bad economic data is good for stocks” era.

I now expect all the investors and traders who ignored the fundamentals of both US and Global economic data while the US stock market went straight up since the hope of QE3 back in mid-2012 will now be the ones who tweet or post on blogs the future fundamentals of companies like AAPL, FB, AMZN, TSLA, GPRO, and many others in hope that their stock positions will at least return back to their entry price to get out.

I also expect all the CNBC guest over the past few years who have been piggy backing off a dovish Fed will now be the same who go on TV and say “all signs where there for a crash due to the artificial environment the Fed and central banks created”.

Unfortunately for those who became investors or traders post 2011 where brain washed and trained US stocks will never correct again and investing/trading is like taking candy from a baby; these will be the first to go and out of the bizz followed by at least 50% of the “BTD” chat rooms as well.

Below is an ES chart I posted on twitter during the last week of 2014 in which I mentioned (and have done so many times since then) the profile since the announcement of QE3 is a very thin profile above a macro balanced area compared to the rallies just before the dot.com and housing/financial crisis bubble bursts. This means that when the time comes (which could be now) the drop from the QE3 and/or central bank bubble burst is likely to be much deeper than the previous two bubbles.

During both the dot.com and housing/financial crisis bubbles each formed a macro lower high (red arrows) before their big macro drop/flush. This central back bubble burst is likely to be no different and if so the scenario I am will be looking for is if ESU5 does not have a daily or weekly close above 1958s this week with 2020s as final or line in the sand for the bears I will expect the October low to get breached. If so ES will likely head to the low volume area at mid-1700s where it will bounce and should retest the October low as resistance. If the October low holds as resistance ES will form a macro lower high before heading to the macro balanced area at 1600s/1500s.





Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Friday, August 21, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Friday, August 21, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Friday, August 21, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

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