Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Thoughts on Canadian Dollar




Attached is a 40 day chart of December Canadian Dollar.

There has been some consolidation at the upper end of a well defined trend channel.  A trade above 100.42 would signal a breakout and we would initiate a long bias.  Upside objective would be 101.20.  Stop out level would be a trade below 99.90.

A rally in Canada would most likely coincide with a continuation of the "risk on" rally that began on Friday.  The current tailwinds for risk assets are hopeful rhetoric on the fiscal cliff and the potential for increased Fed liquidity.