Thursday, June 18, 2015

#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Thursday, June 18, 2015




The key threshold for ESU5 today is 2084s-2080s zone. As long as holding above 2080 today and also tomorrow there is no need to waste time and energy mapping out lower levels after Yellen once again gave the “all clear” for stocks at her press conference yesterday with “economic data remains too weak to hike rates”; this means logic and reality trading is out the window along with also being a must to be Long or get Long almost anywhere while ESU5 is trading above the 2080 level.

Not if but once ESU5 breaks above 2100/01 the current downtrend will be breached which then puts 2107s/08s as the first upside target for today, and then once ESU5 closes above 2108s the countdown to new ATHs will begin sometime next week.

Not that I was expecting a rate hike announcement yesterday but my personal thoughts are the Fed lowered their GDP forecast to negate the rate hike chatter until Greece is resolved or the Fed already knows what is going to happen with Greece and they cannot or will not raise rates in hope US stocks will ignore the Greece outcome.  


Ethan Premock

Futures & Options Strategist

Hamzei Analytics, LLC