Friday, June 19, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Friday, June 19, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Friday, June 19, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Friday, June 19, 2015

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Friday, June 19, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Friday, June 19, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Friday, June 19, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Friday, June 19, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Friday, June 19, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, June 19, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, June 19, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, June 19, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, June 19, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, June 19, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, June 19, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Friday, June 19, 2015

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Friday, June 19, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Friday, June 19, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Friday, June 19, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Friday, June 19, 2015

#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Friday, June 19, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


For now the ESU5 overnight (OVN) session is indicating higher; as long as holding above today’s key threshold 2108 more upside will or should come with ease. While above 2108 the upside targets are 2123s/24s then new ATHs at 2128s-2132s zone.

If below 2108 the profile is very thin which will equal good chance to fill and test 2104s/03s. If a breach below 2103 the bulls will still have nothing to worry about as long as remaining and closing above 2101s/2100s.


Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Thursday, June 18, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Thursday, June 18, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Thursday, June 18, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Thursday, June 18, 2015

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Thursday, June 18, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Thursday, June 18, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Thursday, June 18, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Thursday, June 18, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Thursday, June 18, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, June 18, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, June 18, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, June 18, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, June 18, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, June 18, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, June 18, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Thursday, June 18, 2015

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Thursday, June 18, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Thursday, June 18, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Thursday, June 18, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Thursday, June 18, 2015

#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Thursday, June 18, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend



The key threshold for ESU5 today is 2084s-2080s zone. As long as holding above 2080 today and also tomorrow there is no need to waste time and energy mapping out lower levels after Yellen once again gave the “all clear” for stocks at her press conference yesterday with “economic data remains too weak to hike rates”; this means logic and reality trading is out the window along with also being a must to be Long or get Long almost anywhere while ESU5 is trading above the 2080 level.

Not if but once ESU5 breaks above 2100/01 the current downtrend will be breached which then puts 2107s/08s as the first upside target for today, and then once ESU5 closes above 2108s the countdown to new ATHs will begin sometime next week.

Not that I was expecting a rate hike announcement yesterday but my personal thoughts are the Fed lowered their GDP forecast to negate the rate hike chatter until Greece is resolved or the Fed already knows what is going to happen with Greece and they cannot or will not raise rates in hope US stocks will ignore the Greece outcome.  


Ethan Premock

Futures & Options Strategist

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Wednesday, June 17, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Wednesday, June 17, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Wednesday, June 17, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Wednesday, June 17, 2015

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Wednesday, June 17, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, June 17, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, June 17, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, June 17, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, June 17, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Wednesday, June 17, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Wednesday, June 17, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, June 17, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, June 17, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, June 17, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, June 17, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Wednesday, June 17, 2015

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Wednesday, June 17, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Wednesday, June 17, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Wednesday, June 17, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Wednesday, June 17, 2015

#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Wednesday, June 17, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


After yesterday’s straight up plus 34 point ES move from last week’s value area low (VAL) 2063/62 to last week’s value area high (VAH) 2095/96 I will not expect any exciting price action before FOMC later today. For now ESU5 is trading above yesterday’s value area (VA) +2088s and as long as above 2088s/87s there is chance of more upside to 2097s/98s. If above 2098s either pre or post FOMC there will be good chance to reach 2104s/05s today.

If ES gets back in value/below 2088s/87s during RTH the 80% Rule will apply to the downside with potential to reach the other side of value at 2078s/77s if first getting through the first lower target for today at 2083s/82s.

If there is going to be any decent downside today with legs it is highly unlikely to occur before FOMC but if below 2077 post FOMC the final for the bulls to defend is 2071 otherwise the odds will increase for yesterday being nothing more than Shorts covering ahead of FOMC and odds for a move/hold/close sometime this week below the key 2062 will also increase.

My plan yesterday after the cash open was to either get Short if ES held below value/-2071s due to Monday’s overnight (OVN) bearish price action or get Long once/if back in value for the 80% Rule. Unfortunately due to the immediate pop right at the cash open I missed the initial move to the 2083s target I mentioned in the pre-market yesterday so I then considered getting Long if ESU5 re-tested the VAL at 2072s/71s to confirm the Long but the rotation from 2083s only went to 2075s before the bullish trend day grind continued throughout the entire rest of the day (ROD).


I do not and never chase a trade so yesterday ended up being a “sit on hands day” for me. For today I will not be looking to aggressively engage in trades before FOMC unless ES gets back in value and if so I will look for Long opps at the 2083s/82s or 2078s/77s targets before FOMC if indicators confirm the trades.   


Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Tuesday, June 16, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Tuesday, June 16, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Tuesday, June 16, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Tuesday, June 16, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, June 16, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, June 16, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, June 16, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, June 16, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, June 16, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, June 16, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, June 16, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, June 16, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Tuesday, June 16, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Tuesday, June 16, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Tuesday, June 16, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Tuesday, June 16, 2015

#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Tuesday, June 16, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend



Yesterday I mentioned there is no need to map out lower ESU5 levels until a breach below 2062 which for now is the overnight (OVN) low and now ESU5 is also testing value at 2071s after bouncing from 2062. With such a bounce from 2062 and with this week also being FOMC week I am still doubtful a 2062 breach will come with ease unless value holds both in the pre-market session and during RTH as well.

If value holds for the bears I do see potential to reach the 2051/50 area ahead of FOMC if first getting through today’s first lower target at 2056s/55s but due to the everyday buy the dip (BTD) script odds favor at least one attempt to get back in value/+2071s during the RTH session today if not before the cash open. If back in value during RTH the 80% Rule will apply to the upside with potential to reach the other side of value at 2078s/79s after and if first getting through the 2076s area.

Once/if the bulls succeed to get above value/+2078s the final for the bears to defend is 2082s/83s otherwise the odds will increase for more upside ahead of FOMC and/or post another Greece headline/rumor. 


Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Monday, June 15, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Monday, June 15, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Monday, June 15, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Monday, June 15, 2015

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Monday, June 15, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Monday, June 15, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Monday, June 15, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Monday, June 15, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Monday, June 15, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, June 15, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, June 15, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

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