Friday, July 10, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Friday, July 10, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Friday, July 10, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Friday, July 10, 2015

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Friday, July 10, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Friday, July 10, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Friday, July 10, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Friday, July 10, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Friday, July 10, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


Final #VX Futures Spread for Friday, July 10, 2015

Final #VX Futures Spread for Friday, July 10, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend
Next Friday, we will roll to AUG-DEC Spread as JUL VIX Futures will expire on the following Wednesday, 22nd. 

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, July 10, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, July 10, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, July 10, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, July 10, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, July 10, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, July 10, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Friday, July 10, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Friday, July 10, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#FXI Update & Levels for Friday, July 10, 2015

#FXI Update & Levels for Friday, July 10, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Yesterday I was in hope #FXI would reach 43.20-43.75 zone to engage in a new swing Short which I would have done so with a tight stop because if above 43.75 I see potential to 45.05-45.55 zone which would be an even better/more ideal Short entry.

#FXI is close to the 43.20-43.75 zone but being a Friday with potential of Greece and/or Chine weekend headline risk I will hold off until next week before engaging in a #FXI trade. 

Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Mid-day Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Friday, July 10, 2015

Mid-day Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Friday, July 10, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


Swing bias for CLQ5 is still neutral between 54s-51s and even more so while below 53.55; however if 51 is not breached soon I will begin to favor a swing Long to 54.70-55.10 zone then 56s once/if above 55.10.

CLQ5 does have some room for lower but downside could be limited to 48.50-47.75 zone if 51 is breached before a meaningful bounce which means swing trades on the Long side from here will likely have higher profit potential than Shorts or my interest in Shorts will not come until at or above 54s.

Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Thursday, July 9, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Thursday, July 9, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Thursday, July 9, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Thursday, July 9, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Thursday, July 9, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Thursday, July 9, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Thursday, July 9, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


Final #VX Futures Spread for Thursday, July 9, 2015

Final #VX Futures Spread for Thursday, July 9, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, July 9, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, July 9, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, July 9, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, July 9, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thusday, July 9, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thusday, July 9, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Thursday, July 9, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Thursday, July 9, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Mid-year #AAPL bias July 9th 2015

Mid-year #AAPL bias July 9th 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

For a couple of days now I have been tweeting (@mocktrade) a potential bearish bias for #AAPL while below the weekly resistance at 125.25 and especially while holding below center on the 60min Sigma & CI indicator.

Also over the past several months the #AAPL and ESU5/SPX/SPY charts have remained very similar while holding within a range during the entire first half of 2015, which I believe was due to the hope that #AAPL’s iWatch would be the next catalyst to send #AAPL stock to its next leg higher. If so #AAPL would then help lead indexes to break out higher with volume after failing to find new buyers post the Q1 earnings season along with post many failed index breakout attempts after Janet Yellen’s well timed 360 back to “data dependent” just before the 126k NFP report during the first week of April 2015.

With dovish Fed language and more importantly Q1 earnings unable to attract new buyers to achieve more new market all-time highs (ATHs) #AAPL (the biggest market leader) is now a must to have blowout iWatch sales for there to be potential to lead US indexes back to making new highs and higher.

My concern: I love AAPL the company but I am not a fan of the iwatch or at least not yet due to the fact that the iWatch needs to be linked to a phone. When the iwatch can be a phone on its own and can one day unlock and start your car and/or also fully control the functions of a house (lights, alarm, etc) my bias will definitely change; until then and for now I am more in the belief that #AAPL shareholders are the primary buyers of the iWatch and are trying to promote it by tweeting about it on twitter in hope of helping their Long position.

I got more concerned about the iWatch when seeing only one person at the iWatch table while all other tables were surrounded by people.



















There is chance #AAPL could grind higher as Q2 earnings approach but unless iwatch sales are blowout (or even a big disappointment) there will be extremely high odds #AAPL could breach below 120s then breach below 118/117 which will increase the chances of #AAPL leading the overall market lower along with all the uncertainty in Greece and the uncertainty in the China stock market.



I will have a close eye on #AAPL over the next several weeks to help confirm and/or give clues for a macro bias for the overall market during the next quarter and maybe for the entire 2nd half of the year.

Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Potential FXI targets & bias for Thursday, July 9, 2015

Potential FXI targets & bias for Thursday, July 9, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

FXI still has a ways to go before thinking all is saved for a full reversal which likely means oversold rallies will be Shorting opportunities.

Right now FXI is back above 40.60 and until back below 40.60 there will be potential for more upside to reach 43.15-43.75 zone which is a definite target to scale into new swing Short with a stop just above that zone; or a consideration to engage Short will also be if back and holding below 40.60 sometime after the first hour of trading today.

Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

#PreMarket Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Thursday, July 9, 2015

#PreMarket Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Thursday, July 9, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Yesterday the low 51s was mentioned as a potential support area for CLQ5 and while above a bias will be more on the neutral side while also holding below 54s.

Now that CLQ5 closed above & now trading well above 51s odds favor potential bullish follow through as long as remaining above 52.25-51.45 zone, and while above 51.45 upside targets are at 53.90s then 54.70-55.10 zone.

Once/if upper targets are reached there will still be potential to Short lower high formations anywhere below 56.05-57.30 zone.

Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Wednesday, July 8, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Wednesday, July 8, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Wednesday, July 8, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Wednesday, July 8, 2015

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Wednesday, July 8, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, July 8, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, July 8, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, July 8, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, July 8, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


Final #VX Futures Spread for Wednesday, July 8, 2015

Final #VX Futures Spread for Wednesday, July 8, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Wednesday, July 8, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Wednesday, July 8, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, July 8, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, July 8, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, July 8, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, July 8, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Wednesday, July 8, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Wednesday, July 8, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#PreMarket Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Wednesday, July 8, 2015

#PreMarket Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Wednesday, July 8, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Bias for CLQ5 is now Neutral after reaching the 51s target which now has a first support at 51.15. While above 51.15 the neutral bias will remain until at least pushing and holding above 54.45. If above 54.45 there is still a good amount of resistance at the 56.05 to 57.30 zone before considering a macro bullish bias.

If 54.45 contains CLQ5 upside (or while holding below 53.10) there is still potential for lower and if so 49s then 47s will become the next potential targets.

Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Tuesday, July 7, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Tuesday, July 7, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Tuesday, July 7, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Tuesday, July 7, 2015

Final #GOOG #PutCallRatios Tuesday, July 7, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, July 7, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, July 7, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, July 7, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, July 7, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


Final #VX Futures Spread for Tuesday, July 7, 2015

Final #VX Futures Spread for Tuesday, July 7, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, July 7, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, July 7, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, July 7, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, July 7, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, July 7, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, July 7, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Tuesday, July 7, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Tuesday, July 7, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Update & Levels for Tuesday, July 7, 2015

#ES_F Update & Levels for Tuesday, July 7, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend



As of now the thin profile and low volume area (LVA) above 2078s is containing ESU5 upside which means there is now very good chance ESU5 is heading to the key 2026s-2020s zone while holding below 2057s/58s this week and definitely while/if holding below 2046s today.

Only a move/hold/close above 2058s will negate lower to 2026s/25s and lower with ease.

Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

#PreMarket Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Tuesday, July 7, 2015

#PreMarket Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Tuesday, July 7, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

CLQ5 is getting extremely close to the 51s target and while below 53.75 or below 54.40-54.70 zone as line in sand (LIS) 51s will likely get reached sometime today.

If above 54.70 there is still a good amount of resistance from 56.40 to 57.30 to get through before considering a macro bullish bias. If below 51 today/this week 49s will then become the next lower target. 

Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Monday, July 6, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Monday, July 6, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Monday, July 6, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

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