Friday, July 31, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Thursday, July 30, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOGL #PutCallRatios for Friday, July 31, 2015

Final #GOOGL #PutCallRatios for Friday, July 31, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Friday, July 31, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Friday, July 31, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Friday, July 31, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Friday, July 31, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


Final #VX Futures Spread for Friday, July 31, 2015

Final #VX Futures Spread for Friday, July 31, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend
CBOE Blog published a post explaining the last time this time-series were used to pinpoint the low of S&P-500 Index which was registered with TimerDigest.com on July 8th.

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, July 31, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, July 31, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, July 31, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, July 31, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, July 31, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, July 31, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Friday, July 31, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Friday, July 31, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Friday, July 31, 2015

Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Friday, July 31, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Earlier in the week I mentioned 48.90 being a key level for CLU5 in order to have chance for higher or not. 48.90 was breached but CLU5 is now currently trading back below which means CLU5 is also back below last week’s value area (VA).

CLU5 must now first regain 48.25-48.45 zone then 49.10 otherwise there is still potential to continue lower to 45s/44s and possibly 42s as well especially once/if below 46.80

Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Thursday, July 30, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Thursday, July 30, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOGL #PutCallRatios for Thursday, July 30, 2015

Final #GOOGL #PutCallRatios for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Thursday, July 30, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Thursday, July 30, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


Final #VX Futures Spread for Thursday, July 30, 2015

Final #VX Futures Spread for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend
CBOE Blog published a post explaining the last time this time-series were used to pinpoint the low of S&P-500 Index which was registered with TimerDigest.com on July 8th.

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, July 30, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, July 30, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, July 30, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Thursday, July 30, 2015

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Thursday, July 30, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Index #ES_F #SPY & #AAPL #FB Bias Update and Levels for Thursday, July 30, 2015

Index #ES_F #SPY & #AAPL #FB Bias Update and Levels for Thursday, July 30, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend



So far the theme this earnings (ER) season has been rally of good ERs like NFLX GOOGL AMZN GPRO and then fade in the next few trading sessions or if at/near ATHs with high expectations pre-ERs stocks like AAPL and FB stall and/or drop if not blowout ERs.

Putting ERs aside or when ERs are unable to lead the S&P500, SPY, ES-emini index to new ATHs on heavy volume and when Fed events like FOMC this week become the only reason indexes catch a bid and do so on extremely low volume can only mean one thing which is a “topping process” or at least that is how it was pre-QE3. What most people, traders, and investors don’t know is if even when continuing higher new ATHs on very low volume is still a topping process; it’s all about volume to confirm the strength of breakouts and breakdowns.

Without a new catalyst such as ERs bringing in new buyers on heavy volume and when indexes only bid on Fed hope US equities will not be able to push much higher without some sort of meaningful pull-back or correction. Unfortunately my personal belief is QE3 has destroyed the honesty of historical stock market patterns which also unfortunately means the current mindset of the US stock market is BTD will never fail, but just like when no one believed the housing real estate market in 2004-2008 would ever stop reality always catches up and when the time comes the drop in US stocks will likely be a lot more than just a pull-back or correction.

I see the tweets throughout ever trading session and I can tell most people, traders, and investors believe stocks will never crash again; same mindset of most Americans just before the housing bubble burst in 2008 and also just before the dot.com bubble burst in 1999/2000 as well. I lived, traded, and bought/sold real estate in both the dot.com and housing bubble and I can a sure you this time is no different and is just a normal 7 to 8 year cycle. I will be willing to bet all the guest who go on CNBC and say “this time is different” will be the same guest who say “all signs where there for stocks to crash” which they will do so after the fact.

For now and as I tweeted yesterday (@mocktrade) the only index that breached the lower high threshold was ESU5, and until all others follow the lower higher formation in the indexes and almost all names who have reported ERs should continue as follows:

IWM while below 122.40-122.90 zone 118s remain a potential target.

ESU5 will have to first get and hold below 2080 to head towards 2050s otherwise 2108s-2112s zone more likely.

NQU5 until above 4582s-4585s zone there is potential for lower.

AAPL while below 125s a first potential targets remain at 121.80-121.55 zone then at 117s.

FB while below 97.60 and especially while below 96.75 the lower targets are at 90.40 then 88s.

AMZN must get back above 549/550 to avoid lower.

NFLX must get back above 110.55 to avoid lower.

GPRO must get back above 63.25 to avoid lower.




Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Wednesday, July 29, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOGL #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Final #GOOGL #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


Final #VX Futures Spread for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Final #VX Futures Spread for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend
CBOE Blog published a post explaining the last time this time-series were used to pinpoint the low of S&P-500 Index which was registered with TimerDigest.com on July 8th.

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

First resistance for CLU5 today is at 48.25 then at 48.65; until above either there is still high odds and/or potential for CLU5 to continue heading towards 45s/44s especially once/if below first support at 46.90 then below 46.65-46.45 zone.

If above 48.65 the next upside target for CLU5 is at 49.10-49.20 zone and if above the potential for 45s/44s will likely be negated which will then put 49.75-50.25 zone as the next upside target.

Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

#ES_F #TF_F #IWM #NQ_F #AAPL Bias Update and Levels for Wednesday, July 29, 2015

#ES_F #TF_F #IWM #NQ_F #AAPL Bias Update and Levels for Wednesday, July 29, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend



For now I am still holding half of my Short swing bias against the lower high formation I have been mentioning since last Thursday, especially after seeing AAPL not participating in yesterday’s index rally along with a hand full of other key stocks/leaders as well.

My thoughts now are the US stock market is definitely in some sort of hope for very dovish remarks from the Fed today and likely so due to the fact that earnings (ERs) so far have not been able to lead ESU5/SPY to new ATHs even after great ERs from some of the big leaders GOOGL NFLX AMZN and APPL. If ERs are failing to equal new ATHs the only catalyst that is left to push the indexes to new ATHs on heavy volume is the Fed.

I did try to hedge my remaining half SPY swing Short position via SPY Puts just before the close on Tuesday due to FOMC this week but unfortunately my thoughts of a potential stop run into close was negated by the double bottom so I missed the hedge opportunity.

Regardless of FOMC I still have a close eye on AAPL to help give clues if I should remain Short SPY via Puts (or not) which my eye is now on the daily center Sigma at 123.30-125.50 zone. Until above 125.50 AAPL will have potential to head towards 121.80-121.50 zone then 117s.


For the indexes IWM needs to hold below 122.45-122.95 zone for chance of continuing lower to 118s with ease, ESU5 must hold below the key weekly resistance at 2095s-2097s zone, and NQU5 below 4585s



Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Tuesday, July 28, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Tuesday, July 28, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #GOOGL #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Final #GOOGL #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, July 28, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Final #AAPL #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, July 28, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, July 28, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


Final #VX Futures Spread for Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Final #VX Futures Spread for Tuesday, July 28, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend
CBOE Blog published a post explaining the last time this time-series were used to pinpoint the low of S&P-500 Index which was registered with TimerDigest.com on July 8th.

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, July 27, 2015

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, July 27, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, July 28, 2015

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, July 28, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, July 28, 2015

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, July 28, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Tuesday, July 28, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Tuesday, July 28, 2015

#ES_F Confluence Table for Tuesday, July 28, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Tuesday, July 28, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Not much change in my CLU5 thoughts as yesterday; as long as below 48.90 CLU5 is likely to continue stair stepping lower to 45s/44s; however there is some support at 46.90 and until below 46.90 there will be potential to head higher towards 47.85-48.15 zone. If above 48.15 the next upside target is at 48.55-48.65 zone with 48.90 as line in sane (LIS).

If continuing lower the first lower target for today is at 46.15.

Ethan Premock
Futures & Options StrategistHamzei Analytics, LLC

Monday, July 27, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Monday, July 27, 2015

#FOREX Pairs with HA Prop Indicators for Monday, July 27, 2015SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

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