Friday, December 16, 2016

Final #AMZN #PutCallRatios for Friday, December 16, 2016

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Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Friday, December 15, 2016

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Friday, December 15, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, December 16, 2016

#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, December 16, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, December 16, 2016

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#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, December 16, 2016

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#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, December 16, 2016

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, December 16, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Friday, December 16, 2016

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Friday, December 16, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Friday, December 16, 2016

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Friday, December 16, 2016 Morning S&P Comments from Michael Blythe

Friday, December 16, 2016 Morning S&P Comments from Michael BlytheSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Good morning. Bulls did what they needed, rebuilt a floor at 2250 and is using that to push higher. It’s an expiration Friday with bulls in charge, not out of the cards for a grind up to new highs or at least pushing close to 2270. Going to return to quiet and thin.


 2273 (**) Third Target + Resist

2269 (*) Second Target + Some Resist

2264 (*) First Higher Target

2260 (*) Early Pivot

2256 (*) First Lower Target + Small but maybe good enough support

2252 (**) Second Lower Target + Support

2248 (***) Third Lower Target + Bulls Better Show up


All the best;


Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC





Friday, December 16, 2016 Morning Crude Comments from MB

Friday, December 16, 2016 Morning Crude Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Volume finally moving into the Feb contract with the overnight volume slightly higher than the Jan. So all levels are CLG7 now.

I like buying $51.60, risking .20 to make .50 or selling $52.88, risking .20 to make .50 and selling $53.15, risking .25 to make $1.00

$53.18 (***) TGT 3 + Resist

$52.88 (**) TGT 2 + Resist

$52.55 (*) First Higher Target + Some Resist

$52.36 (*) Early Pivot

$51.97 (*) First Lower TGT

$51.58 (**) TGT 2 + Support

$51.10 (***) TGT 3 + Support


All the best;


Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Friday, December 16, 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MB

Friday, December 16, 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend



Return to orderly Treasury future trade yesterday. The 30 year trying to build at least a temporary floor. Over the last few weeks it has been normal to see about three sessions sideways to higher leading to a 2-3 handle bounce and then sellers reinitiate. I think the path of less resistance today, is weakness during the morning at least.

I like being short right now 148’24 as volume comes in at the open with a 8 tick stop looking for the first lower target. I like buying 148’12 small, with the potential of adding at 148’02, risking 10 ticks on the average, while looking for a bounce back to 149’00, or 24-25 ticks.

I like selling 149’16 and adding at 149’24, using a 12 tick stop on the average while looking for 32 ticks.


149’24 (***) Third Target + Best Resist

149’16 (**) Second Target + Better Resist

149’08 (*) First Higher Target + Small Resist

149’00 (*) Early Pivot

148’12 (**) First Lower Target + Some Support

148’02 (***) Second Lower Target + Better Support

147’04 (***)


All the best;


Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Thursday, December 15, 2016

Final #AMZN #PutCallRatios for Thursday, December 15, 2016

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Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Thursday, December 15, 2016

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Thursday, December 15, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, December 15, 2016

#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, December 15, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, December 15, 2016

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, December 15, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, December 15, 2016

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#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, December 15, 2016

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, December 15, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Thursday, December 15, 2016

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Thursday, December 15, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Thursday, December 15, 2016

#ES_F Confluence Table for Thursday, December 15, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Wednesday, December 14, 2016

Final #AMZN #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, December 14, 2016

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Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Wednesday, December 14, 2016

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#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Wednesday, December 14, 2016

#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Wednesday, December 14, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Wednesday, December 14, 2016

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#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, December 14, 2016

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, December 14, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, December 14, 2016

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, December 14, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Wednesday, December 14, 2016

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Wednesday, December 14, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Wednesday, December 14, 2016

#ES_F Confluence Table for Wednesday, December 14, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Wednesday, December 14, 2016 Morning S&P Comments from Michael Blythe

Wednesday, December 14, 2016 Morning S&P Comments from Michael BlytheSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend



Good morning everyone. Very quiet overnight trade preparing for FOMC. The market doesn’t seem to be expecting much of a response today, and I agree. However, markets often times defy expectation.


2290 (***) TGT 4 + Resist

2282 (*) TGT 3

2274 (**) TGT 2 + Resist

2269 (*) First Higher Target + Small Resist

2265 (*) Early Pivot

2260 (*) First Lower Target + Small Support

2255 (*) TGT 2

2249 (**) TGT 3 + Better Support

2240 (**) TGT 4 + Support

2233 (***) Pivotal



All the best;


Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Wednesday, December 14, 2016 Morning Crude Comments from MB

Wednesday, December 14, 2016 Morning Crude Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Hello. Volume is still in the Jan CL future so I am continuing to use that. Crude seems to be lingering lower to fill the gap from Friday’s close. This market is technically bullish, as well as fundamentally and seasonally bullish (short term, with some variations). Crude could be vulnerable to some excitement today with EIA # and FOMC.

Only place I am looking to buy is $51.50, risking .25 to make $1.00. I like selling $53.10, risking .20 to make .50




$53.40 (***) TGT 5 + Resist

$53.20 (**) TGT 4 + Resist

$53.00 (**) Third Higher TGT + Resist

$52.80 (*) Second TGT + Small Resist

$52.53 (**) First Higher Target + Some Resist + Bears Make their stand here

$52.18 (*) Early Pivot

$51.90 (*) First Lower Target + Small Support

$51.48 (***) Second TGT + Pivotal Support + Bulls can’t lose

Below $51.48 I’m watching round numbers $51.00, $50.50, $50.00 etc


All the best;


Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Wednesday, December 14, 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MB

Wednesday, December 14, 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Hello and welcome to FOMC day. I expect a quiet morning trade before the volatile afternoon. It’s difficult (for me) to anticipate the market reaction to this Fed day. I have internal reasons to suspect either a quieter than usual reaction or stronger than usual reaction. My levels today are a little more macro, in the event of a more substantial reaction.

Before noon, I like buying 149’08 risking 8 ticks to make 16 or buying 148’18 risking 8 to make 24. Or selling 150’02 risking 8 to make 16.

*The above ideas are only good pre Fed and assume flat into the meeting *

I believe the stronger levels to be relevant today, but obviously cannot anticipate what I would do having yet to see the reaction to FOMC.

151’14 (***) TGT 4 + Resist

150’29 (***) TGT 3 + Resist

150’12 (**) TGT 2 + Resistance

150’02 (**) First Higher Target + Resistance

149’22 (**) Early Pivot

149’08 (*) First Lower Target + Fair Support

148’18 (**) Lower TGT 2 + Good Support

148’07 (*) Lower TGT 3 + Fair Support

147’10 (***) TGT 4 + Pivotal
                                                                                                                 

All the best;



Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Tuesday, December 13, 2016

Final #AMZN #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, December 13, 2016

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Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Tuesday, December 13, 2016

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#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, December 13, 2016

#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, December 13, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, December 13, 2016

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#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, December 13, 2016

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, December 13, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, December 13, 2016

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, December 13, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Tuesday, December 13, 2016

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Tuesday, December 13, 2016 Morning Crude Comments from MB

Tuesday, December 13, 2016 Morning Crude Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend



Seems like crude gave bulls a gift yesterday giving them an opportunity to buy in regular session. Now bulls need to make higher lows and higher highs. I like fading the resistance zone, starting small at $53.70 adding small at $53.80 and $53.90. Risking .25 on ave to make .75 on ave. I like buying $52.60 small, risking .20 to make .50.


$54.50 (***) Target 3

$54.20 (*) Target 2

$53.90 (**) Top of Resist Zone

$53.80 (*) First Higher Target

$53.70 (*) Resistance Zone Begins

$53.45 (*) Early Pivot

$53.00 (*) First Lower Target

$52.60 (*) Second Lower TGT + Some Support

$52.15 (**) TGT 3 + Better Support

$51.80 (*) TGT 4

$51.50 (***) TGT 5 + Pivotal Support



All the best;


Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Tuesday, December 13, 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MB

Tuesday, December 13, 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Hello. Light calendar today. Quiet, buy the dip action in the 30 year overnight. Looking at yesterday’s rally and some overnight follow through, I think bonds could continue to see higher into the FOMC decision.

I am willing to buy lower with smaller size. 148’23 and adding at 148’16. Risking 12 ticks on the ave to scale at 16 and 24 tick profits. I like selling the 149’22 price small, adding small at 149’28 and 150’02 (if necessary) risking 10 ticks on the ave to make 24 ticks.


150’02 (***) Target 3 + Good Resist

149’28 (*) Target 2 + Still in Resist Zone

149’22 (***) First Higher Target + Good Resist

149’09 Price as of this writing (just a reference)

148’23 (**) Early Pivot – Bias Long Above + Short Below

148’16 (*) First Lower Target + Some Support

148’08 (*) Lower TGT 2 + Some Support

147’26 (*) Target 3


All the best;

Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Monday, December 12, 2016

Final #AMZN #PutCallRatios for Monday, December 12, 2016

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Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Monday, December 12, 2016

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#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, December 12, 2016

#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, December 12, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, December 12, 2016

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#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Monday, December 12, 2016

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#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Monday, December 12, 2016

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Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Monday, December 12, 2016

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Monday, December 12, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table for Monday, December 12, 2016

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