Friday, December 9, 2016

Final #AMZN #PutCallRatios for Friday, December 9, 2016

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Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Friday, December 9, 2016

Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Friday, December 9, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, December 9, 2016

#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, December 9, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Friday, December 9, 2016

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#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, December 9, 2016

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#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, December 9, 2016

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Friday, December 9, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Friday, December 9, 2016

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Friday, December 9, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

ES Confluence Table Friday, December 9, 2016

ES Confluence Table Friday, December 9, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Friday, December 9, 2016 Morning Crude Comments from MB

Friday, December 9, 2016 Morning Crude Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend





Crude recapturing $50 handle yesterday now aiming for higher prices. I like selling the $51.95 price risking .35 to make 1.00, also like selling the $52.20, risking .25 to make 1.00. I like buying the $51.00 handle risking .25 to make .50.


 $52.20 (***)

$51.95 (**) Second Higher Target + Resist

$51.55 (*) First Higher Target + Small Resist

$51.20 (*) Early Pivot

$50.95 (**) First Lower Target + Support

$50.70 (*) Second Target

$50.45 (**) Third Target + Support

$50.00 (***)



All the best;


Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Friday, December 9, 2016 Morning S&P Comments from Michael Blythe

Friday, December 9, 2016 Morning S&P Comments from Michael BlytheSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Good morning. Quiet overnight, less than 5 handles of range, volume is around 80K mini’s in each the Dec and Mar contracts. Today I will be using the MAR levels in the report. Light calendar, I’m not expecting much.


2252 (***) Third Target + Resist

2249 (*) Target 2

2246 (**) First Higher Target + Some Resist

2240 (*) Early Pivot

2237 (*) First Lower Target + Small Support

2231 (**) Second Lower Target + Better Support

2228 (***) Pivotal


All the best;


Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Friday, December 9. 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MB

Friday, December 9. 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Good morning. Bond weakness continues. Only place I would buy is 148’00 but I don’t expect that to print today. Instead I’ll look to sell back through 148’24. I also like selling 149’16 with smaller size adding at 149’22, using a 12 tick stop on the average while targeting 24-32 ticks.

149’22 (***) Third Higher Target + Resistance Band Begins

149’16 (**) Second Higher Target + Some Resist

149’04 (*) First Higher Target

148’24 (*)  Early Pivot

148’20 (*) First Lower Target

148’11 (**) Second Lower Target + Some Support

148’00 (***) Third Lower Target + Better Support


All the best;

Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Thursday, December 8, 2016

Final #AMZN #PutCallRatios for Thursday, December 8, 2016

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Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Thursday, December 8, 2016

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#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, December 8, 2016

#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, December 8, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, December 8, 2016

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Thursday, December 8, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, December 8, 2016

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, December 8, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

ES Confluence Table Thursday, December 8, 2016

ES Confluence Table Thursday, December 8, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, December 8, 2016

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Thursday, December 8, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Thursday, December 8, 2016

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Thursday, December 8, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Thursday, December 8 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MB

Thursday, December 8 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Bond market was trying to build a floor for much of this week but just broke key areas as ECB hitting the wires.

I would not consider buying today (as of 7:00 am). I like fading a rally at the (**) levels. However, given the sensitivity of this market to ECB reaction, I am hesitant to give exact trade ideas.


151’19 (***)

151’09 (**) TGT 3 + Bears Need to Hold

151’00 (*) TGT 2

150’18 (*) First Higher Target + Small Resist

150’06 (**) Pivotal for Control

149’17 (*) TGT 1

149’11 (*) TGT 2 + Small Support

148’30 (*) TGT 3 + Small Support

148’11 (***)


All the best;

Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Thursday, December 8, 2016 Morning Crude Comments

Thursday, December 8, 2016 Morning Crude CommentsSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Crude $50 gave way, intraday charts showing lower highs and lower lows, now the question is, how sufficient is a 5% pullback?

If the morning is slow to moderate in terms of volatility, I like buying $49.70 with small size, risking .25 to make .50, or selling the $50.45 price risking .25 to make .75.

 $51.00 (***)

$50.75 (*)

$50.45 (**) First Higher Target + Bears need to Defend

$50.00 (**) Pivotal

$49.70 (**) First Lower Target + Support

$49.39 (*) Second Lower Target

$49.08 (*) Third TGT + Some Support


All the best;

Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Wednesday, December 7, 2016

Final #AMZN #PutCallRatios for Wednesday, December 7, 2016

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Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Wednesday, December 7, 2016

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#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Wednesday, December 7, 2016

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#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Wednesday, December 7, 2016

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#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, December 7, 2016

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, December 7, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, December 7, 2016

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Wednesday, December 7, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Wednesday, December 7, 2016

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Wednesday, December 7, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table Wednesday, December 7, 2016

#ES_F Confluence Table Wednesday, December 7, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Wednesday, December 7, 2016 Morning Crude Comments from MB

Wednesday, December 7, 2016 Morning Crude Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Crude now having trouble with the $51.00 handle, increasing the likelihood we get a test of the $50.00 psyschological/technical level today. Given the EIA # today, going to have to widen entry criteria at least somewhat depending on volatility.

My ideas for the day do not include holding any position into the 9:30 # without a break even stop. However, a first hour (8:00-9:00 cst) or 10:30 - later test of $50.00 I like buying risking .15 to make .45. I’d also attempt to buy $49.70 anytime today, risking .25 to make .75.

From the sell side, I like selling $51.00 and adding at $51.20, risking .25 on the ave, while targeting .75.

$51.25 (***) TGT 3 + Strong Resist

$51.00 (**) TGT 2 + Stronger Resist

$50.75 (*) First Higher Target + Some Resist

$50.50 (*) Early Pivot

$50.20 (*) First Lower Target

$50.00 (**) Second Target + Support

$49.70 (**) Thirdy Target + Support

$49.10 (***)



All the best;


Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Wednesday, December 7, 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MB

Wednesday, December 7, 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Small rally in bond market overnight, but a persistent market trying to lift a bid, another two handles higher and I think it will be a gift for shorts.

As for today, I like shorting the 151’20 price with smaller size and adding at 151’26, risking 16 ticks on the ave to make 32 ticks minimum. As an alternative, I could see having a smaller position buying 150’15 and adding small at 150’04, using a 12 tick stop on the ave to make 24-32 ticks. However, I like the sell much better.


151’26 (***) TGT 3 + Strong Resist Zone Begins

151’20 (**) Higher TGT 2 + Better Resist

151’08 (*) First Higher Target + Some Resist

150’31 (*) Early Pivot

150’15 (*) First Lower Target + Some Support

150’04 (**) Lower TGT 2 + Some Support
 

All the best;
Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Tuesday, December 6, 2016

Final #AMZN #PutCallRatios for Tuesday, December 6, 2016

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Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Tuesday, December 6, 2016

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#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, December 6, 2016

#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, December 6, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, December 6, 2016

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Tuesday, December 6, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, December 6, 2016

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#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, December 6, 2016

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Tuesday, December 6, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Tuesday, December 6, 2016

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Tuesday, December 6, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table Tuesday, December 6, 2016

#ES_F Confluence Table Tuesday, December 6, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Tuesday, November 6, 2016 Morning Crude Comments

Tuesday, November 6, 2016 Morning Crude CommentsSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend



One of my ideas triggered yesterday, buying $51.10 looking for a .50 move, and we just barely got that overnight, and this morning Crude is looking weak after making a lower high, now it’s making a lower low as it appears that the $50 price could be tested soon.

I think over $50, and I still have to look to buy dips. My idea for the day is buying $50.20 small and adding at $50.00, risking .25 to make .75.

$51.60 (*) Second TGT + Some Resist

$51.30 (*) First Higher Target + Some Resist

$51.00 (*) Early Pivot

$50.50 (*) First Lower Target + Some Support

$50.20 (*) Lower Target 2 + Some Support

$50.00 (***) Pivotal

$49.70 (**)


All the best;

Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Tuesday, December 6, 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MB

Tuesday, December 6, 2016 Morning Bond Comments from MBSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend




Good morning. Somewhat of a mixed bag since yesterday in the Treasury complex and so the bias has to remain to the trend which is lower. Yesterday, If you took both trade ideas then we did well on both sides, however the short idea from the 150’29 ave need a break of 150’10 to get the full handle, I am bidding 150’13 on half and moving stop to break even.

For today: I only want to be short below 150’10. Only new idea today is selling 151’04 with small size, risking 16 ticks to make 32 ticks.

151’20 (***) TGT 3 + Resist

151’08 (**) TGT 2 + Resist

150’30 (*) First Higher Target + Some Resist

150’21 (*) Early Pivot

150’10 (*) First Lower Target + Some Support

149’26 (*) Second Target

149’10 (***) Third Target + Support


All the best;

Michael Blythe
Futures Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Monday, December 5, 2016

Final #AMZN #PutCallRatios for Monday, December 5, 2016

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Final #VIX #PutCallRatios Monday, December 5, 2016

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#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, December 5, 2016

#NQ_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, December 5, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Volume Profile Chart for Monday, December 5, 2016

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#NQ_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Monday, December 5, 2016

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#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Monday, December 5, 2016

#ES_F Daily + Weekly SPR plus IB Levels Chart for Monday, December 5, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Monday, December 5, 2016

Final #SPX #MOC #Imbalances for Monday, December 5, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

#ES_F Confluence Table Monday, December 5, 2016

#ES_F Confluence Table Monday, December 5, 2016SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

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