March 4, 2013 HFT Bonds & Notes commentary with @GCavaligos

Tweet March 4, 2013 HFT Bonds & Notes commentary with @GCavaligos

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Update for Our Aussie Dollar Position

Tweet Update for Our Aussie Dollar Position

Attached is a 40 day chart of December Aussie Dollar.

On Thursday, we initiated a short bias at 103.06.  Compromise on the "Fiscal Cliff" issue has outweighed Middle East tensions and opened the door to "risk on."  This has provided a tailwind to the Aussie Dollar.  If ADZ2 settles above 103.70, we will abandon our short bias.

Comments on #Aussie #Dollar

Tweet Comments on #Aussie #Dollar

Above is a daily chart of December Aussie Dollar futures.

Since early October the Aussie Dollar has benefited from the perception that China was poised for a significant rebound.  It appears now that the confidence has been shaken. Yesterday's outside day down followed by additional weakness today, suggests further downside. 

We will consider shorting Aussie now (103.06) with an initial target of 101.90. A settlement above 103.65 will stop us out.  Good luck....Jim                 

                                                               

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Final $TLT #PutCallRatio for Wednesday, November, 14th, 2012

Tweet Final $TLT #PutCallRatio for Wednesday, November, 14th, 2012

More on Euro Currency

Tweet More on Euro Currency

Above is a 40 day chart of December Euro Currency.

Yesterday we mentioned a stop-out level of a settle above 127.44.  We reiterate that today.  

It is definitely with some frustration as we feel the fundamental picture for the Euro is still negative.                                        

                                                                

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Comments by @JimIuorio on #Euro #Currency

Tweet Comments by @JimIuorio on #Euro #Currency

Attached is a 30 day chart of December Euro Currency.

Although we still have a bearish sentiment, the relative stagnation over the last 2 days is disconcerting.  At this point, if we get a settlement above 127.44 would cover    

HALF of short position.  With current equity market weakness, we believe that old highs of 124.70 are a reachable objective on the downside.        
                                                                                      

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Final $TLT #PutCallRatio for Monday, November 11, 2012

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Final #TLT #PutCallRatio for Friday, November 9, 2012

Tweet Final #TLT #PutCallRatio for Friday, November 9, 2012

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Comments on Euro Currency

Tweet Comments on Euro Currency

Attached is a chart of the ECZ2.

The RISK OFF trade remains in tact as treasuries and the dollar are bid this morning.

Good news out of china has slowed the Aussie's decline and makes our short bias in the euro that much more attractive. Price action in the ECZ2 is still negative and we would look to take profit on half of our short at 126.25 (approx 50% retracement of the up trend that began in July).            

                                                                                                                                                    

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Final #TLT #PutCallRatio for Thursday, November 8, 2012

Tweet Final #TLT #PutCallRatio for Thursday, November 8, 2012

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Update 2 for Euro Currency by @JimIuorio

Tweet Update 2 for Euro Currency by @JimIuorio

Attached is a chart of December Euro Currency (ECZ2).

We maintain our short bias and will do so until we have settlement above 128.25.

We still believe that fiscal cliff uncertainty will force the dollar higher and the market may recycle      European headlines that could disproportionately weaken the Euro.  We are not suggesting that there are not real and new problems in Europe.  We are only pointing out the markets tendency to justify moves with hand picked headlines.    

                                                                                                                          

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