Saturday, November 24, 2012

Market Timing Charts for Week Ending Friday, Nov 23, 2012

Market Timing Charts for Week Ending Friday, Nov 23, 2012SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Timer Chart: SPX 200-Day MA (1383) was overcome this week and next target now becomes 1416 (+1 sigma) which should signify the move up is about to get traction -- then more importantly, the  50-bar MA at 1426 (and within +1 to +2 sigma) is the KEY TARGET.  

We like the color and slope of CIs here.  Worth noting is McClellan Oscillators are at +145 for NYSE and +98 for NASDAQ.  We have ways to go before these readings become overbought.

Last Friday's outside bar reversal in SPX was a very effective bullish signal. The day before, on Nov 15th, the McClellan Oscillator registered -272.  This is a typically fairly close to the "launch-pad" mode.  We had one last year the day before Thanksgiving (Nov 23rd) which followed by 750 pts move in DJIA in three trading days.

Wyckoff Chart:  DJ Utils price action is still alarming while DJ Trans is back up to its 50-day MA.  And RUT is about to close above its 200-day.  RISK is coming back in, albeit, very slowly.  Fiscal Cliff is the issue, ioho.


SP1_momo Chart: On Friday Close, our DAILY timing model went to a BUY.  We are now on BUY-BUY (WEEKLY & DAILY).   The reversal came at SPX -2 sigma on weekly chart.

Our momo Indicator closed at +6.90.  We will be watching for +10 line as a short-term overbought line-in-the-sand.


TRIN Chart:  NYSE's 5-day TRIN is fast approaching a SELL signal (short-term over-bought) while NASDAQ's is crossed that threshold.


VIX & VXN Chart: Volatility Indices have peaked.  Keep an eye on their CIs' slope and color.


WEEKLY Support, Pivot & Resistance (SPR) Levels:   As you see we are beginning a move up.  We will update this chart via @HunterKillerSub Monday within the first hour of RTH, so you will have the key SPR levels for next week.


Above are the WEEKLY SPR Levels for 30-year(T-Bonds Futures), TLT (30-yr ETF) and 10-year (T-Notes Futures) -- courtesy of our HFT Bonds Chart Streamer.  Again, we will update this chart on @HunterKillerSub within the first hour of RTH, so you will have the key SPR levels for next week.


And last, but not least, here are the key SPR Levels for major ETFs which will be update Monday within the first hour of RTH via @HunterKillerSub.


And for the MAC+ enthusiasts, here is our beloved MAC+ Indicator.  As you notice, this past week, MAC+ needed no JP5.  It led the ES pretty much every day by about 30-seconds and kept us out of trouble.  Friday's performance was outstanding as volume was thin and MAC+ unrelenting.

Long Live AWACS .........

This week, Percent Components of SPX above their respective 200-day MA, rushed back up over its 50-day MA.  20-day MA at 68% is the next target. We are in a congested area and this indicator is givig no clear signal, yet.  A move above 75% is worth watching.


Bottom Line:  This Thanksgiving and last, while similar in structure, they do not offer same price action.  The Fiscal Cliff has put a damper on stocks and made bonds rally.  While we believe the Fiscal Cliff will be avoided in its pure form, the immediate road ahead should be viewed with higher expectations of volatility, tax selling and news-driven chaotic trades.

Have a great weekend ..............


Friday, November 23, 2012

Final $VIX #PutCallRatio for Friday, Nov 23, 2012

Final $VIX #PutCallRatio for Friday, Nov 23, 2012SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


Final $TLT #PutCallRatio for Friday, Nov 23, 2012

Final $TLT #PutCallRatio for Friday, Nov 23, 2012SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Hourly ETF Charts with WEEKLY Support Pivot Resistance Levels

Hourly ETF Charts with WEEKLY Support Pivot Resistance Levels SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

IB Levels for $SPY & $QQQ for Friday, Nov 23, 2012

IB Levels for $SPY & $QQQ for Friday, Nov 23, 2012SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Final $VIX #PutCallRatio for Wednesday, November, 21, 2012

Final $VIX #PutCallRatio for Wednesday, November, 21, 2012 SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


You can test drive HFT Options or HFT Futures via this link http://bit.ly/PAkWvf certain restrictions apply

Daily #Equity #Markets Commentary Nov. 21 By @pnavarro88

Daily #Equity #Markets Commentary Nov. 21 By @pnavarro88SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

 You can test drive HFT Options via this link http://bit.ly/PAkWvf certain restrictions apply

Final $TLT #PutCallRatio for Wednesday, November, 21, 2012

Final $TLT #PutCallRatio for Wednesday, November, 21, 2012 SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

HFT Bonds Daily Video Analysis with @GCavaligos November 21, 2012

HFT Bonds Daily Video Analysis with @GCavaligos November 21, 2012SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

HFT Bonds with Daily video from Bonds Strategist, George Cavaligos. Take a look at what we do - http://tinyurl.com/cxr5s6b then jump in for a test drive. Just email us at HFT_Bonds@HamzeiAnalytics.com add TEST DRIVE in subject line. (First and last names are required.)

Thoughts on Canadian Dollar

Thoughts on Canadian DollarSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend



Attached is a 40 day chart of December Canadian Dollar.

There has been some consolidation at the upper end of a well defined trend channel.  A trade above 100.42 would signal a breakout and we would initiate a long bias.  Upside objective would be 101.20.  Stop out level would be a trade below 99.90.

A rally in Canada would most likely coincide with a continuation of the "risk on" rally that began on Friday.  The current tailwinds for risk assets are hopeful rhetoric on the fiscal cliff and the potential for increased Fed liquidity.

Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Final $VIX #PutCallRatio for Tuesday, November, 20, 2012

Final $VIX #PutCallRatio for Tuesday, November, 20, 2012SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


You can test drive HFT Options or HFT Futures via this link http://bit.ly/PAkWvf certain restrictions apply

Daily #Equity #Markets Commentary Nov. 20 By @pnavarro88

Daily #Equity #Markets Commentary Nov. 20 By @pnavarro88SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

 You can test drive HFT Options via this link http://bit.ly/PAkWvf certain restrictions apply

Final $TLT #PutCallRatio for Tuesday, November, 20, 2012

Final $TLT #PutCallRatio for Tuesday, November, 20, 2012SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

HFT Bonds Daily Video Analysis with @GCavaligos November 20, 2012

HFT Bonds Daily Video Analysis with @GCavaligos November 20, 2012SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

HFT Bonds with Daily video from Bonds Strategist, George Cavaligos. Take a look at what we do http://tinyurl.com/cxr5s6b then jump in for a test drive. Just email us at HFT_Bonds@HamzeiAnalytics.com add TEST DRIVE in subject line.  (First and last names are  required.)

Today's IB Levels for $SPY and $QQQ

Today's IB Levels for $SPY and $QQQSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

WEEKLY Support Pivot Resistance Levels for $ES_F & $NQ_F

WEEKLY Support Pivot Resistance Levels for $ES_F & $NQ_FSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend



Monday, November 19, 2012

HFT Bonds Daily Video Analysis with George Cavaligos November 19, 2012

HFT Bonds Daily Video Analysis with George Cavaligos November 19, 2012SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

HFT Bonds with Daily video from Bonds Strategist, George Cavaligos. Take a look at what we do here http://tinyurl.com/cxr5s6b then jump in for a test drive. email HFT_Bonds@HamzeiAnalytics.com add TEST in subject line. (First and last name required)

Final $VIX #PutCallRatio for Monday, November, 19th, 2012

Final $VIX #PutCallRatio for Monday, November, 19th, 2012 SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend


You can test drive HFT Options or HFT Futures via this link http://bit.ly/PAkWvf certain restrictions apply

Daily #Equity #Markets Commentary Nov. 19 By @pnavarro88

Daily #Equity #Markets Commentary Nov. 19 By @pnavarro88 SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

You can test drive HFT Options via this link http://bit.ly/PAkWvf certain restrictions apply

Final $TLT #PutCallRatio for Monday, November, 19th, 2012

Final $TLT #PutCallRatio for Monday, November, 19th, 2012 SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Today's Initial Balance levels for $SPY and $QQQ

Today's Initial Balance levels for $SPY and $QQQSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Update for Our Aussie Dollar Position

Update for Our Aussie Dollar PositionSocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

Attached is a 40 day chart of December Aussie Dollar.

On Thursday, we initiated a short bias at 103.06.  Compromise on the "Fiscal Cliff" issue has outweighed Middle East tensions and opened the door to "risk on."  This has provided a tailwind to the Aussie Dollar.  If ADZ2 settles above 103.70, we will abandon our short bias.

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