Final #TLT #PutCallRatio for Wednesday, November 7, 2012

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Update on December Euro Currency

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Attached is a daily chart of December Euro Currency (ECZ2).

On Friday we initiated a short bias from 128.70.  This morning's price action has provided incentive to increase shorts with an eye on 126.00 as objective.  The election has caused a rush to the safety of the US Dollar and Treasuries.  A resurfacing of negative European headlines should cause the Euro to be disproportionately punished compared to other currencies.

                                                             
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Final #TLT #PutCallRatio for Tuesday, November 6th, 2012

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Final #TLT #PutCallRatio for Monday, November 5th, 2012

Tweet Final #TLT #PutCallRatio for Monday, November 5th, 2012

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Comments on Euro Currency

Tweet Comments on Euro Currency

Attached is a daily chart of December Euro Currency (ECZ2).

There has been a clean breakout of the previous support levels around 128.30.

At this point we  would move our stop loss to a settle above 128.92.  Ongoing uncertainty could 

result in money moving into the U.S. Dollar and, so far, the Euro has been  the first to be cast aside. Oddly, the fiscal cliff, which would be negative to the U.S. economy, would benefit the Dollar because of the reflexive "risk-off" habit of market participants.                                          

                                                               

                                                               
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Final #TLT #PutCallRatio for Friday, November 2nd, 2012

Tweet Final #TLT #PutCallRatio for Friday, November 2nd, 2012

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More on #Euro #Currency by @JimIuorio

Tweet More on #Euro #Currency by @JimIuorio

 

Attached is a daily chart of December Euro Currency Futures (ECZ2).

          

As per yesterdays post, we have a short bias in Euro that began below 128.70.  Stop-loss level will be a settle above 128.95.  The initial downside objective will be 128.10. 

At this level, if it appears that the market will hold, we would cover some of position.  If the level breaks quickly we would add to shorts below 128.00. 

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Updated comments on #Aussie #Dollar

Tweet Updated comments on #Aussie #Dollar

Attached is a daily chart of December Aussie Dollar (ADZ2). 

Chinese liquidity injections have provided a short term tailwind for the currency. We will stick with the short position stop out levels that we identified yesterday which were a trade above 103.70 or a settle above 103.60.          

                                                               

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Thoughts on December #Canadian #Dollar

Tweet Thoughts on December #Canadian #Dollar

Attached is a chart of December Canadian Dollar.

In this morning's piece we mentioned an inflection point and potential upside breakout in the Dollar Index.  This does not appear likely, at this point, causing us to believe that the full-fledged Dollar rally is on hold.

However, we do believe there may be an opportunity in Canadian Dollar. If CDZ2 settles below

100.28 we will consider a short position as it looks like a bear flag formation has been confirmed.  Downside objective is 98.50-60 with a stop loss on settle above 101.00.  Had the Dollar Index confirmed direction, or, if it does in the future, we will become more confident and add to the shorts in this position.